Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.409455 0.484674 0.568520 0.668722 0.785018 0.915543 1.072935
2025-01-19 0.294718 0.391153 0.510133 0.666925 0.867222 1.113554 1.438375
2025-01-26 0.241775 0.349020 0.491485 0.692886 0.968260 1.329280 1.835655
2025-02-02 0.221578 0.342266 0.512354 0.766558 1.133142 1.638178 2.381023
2025-02-09 0.193908 0.318446 0.503544 0.794255 1.233701 1.866036 2.835414
2025-02-16 0.163490 0.284445 0.473406 0.784200 1.274868 2.009611 3.179218
2025-02-23 0.135787 0.249631 0.436098 0.756428 1.283139 2.101612 3.450654
2025-03-02 0.112270 0.217637 0.398218 0.721537 1.273975 2.162785 3.676134
2025-03-09 0.102730 0.208517 0.397047 0.746794 1.364270 2.387422 4.177917
2025-03-16 0.087212 0.185771 0.368738 0.720902 1.364013 2.462364 4.439064
2025-03-23 0.079645 0.177054 0.364514 0.737165 1.438024 2.666807 4.932398
2025-03-30 0.073033 0.169174 0.360688 0.753307 1.512652 2.877384 5.451596
2025-04-06 0.064345 0.155947 0.345447 0.747198 1.548107 3.026550 5.884362
2025-04-13 0.057073 0.144640 0.332644 0.744515 1.590141 3.192044 6.362437
2025-04-20 0.053444 0.140964 0.335184 0.773220 1.696227 3.484892 7.098748
2025-04-27 0.054268 0.147926 0.361484 0.854712 1.916218 4.011513 8.316136
2025-05-04 0.051061 0.144489 0.364174 0.885334 2.033909 4.348317 9.192521
2025-05-11 0.045391 0.133833 0.348902 0.874218 2.062143 4.509747 9.736539
2025-05-18 0.039268 0.120855 0.326308 0.843511 2.044501 4.576188 10.094518
2025-05-25 0.033540 0.107847 0.301728 0.804919 2.004950 4.593167 10.351420
2025-06-01 0.031820 0.105900 0.304638 0.832856 2.118929 4.942274 11.323659
2025-06-08 0.027675 0.096025 0.285643 0.804216 2.098457 5.000301 11.683360
2025-06-15 0.025968 0.093250 0.285110 0.822206 2.189955 5.309532 12.603938